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The INTENSE project: using observations and models to understand the past. present and future of sub-daily rainfall extremes

Blenkinsop, Stephen, Fowler, Hayley J., Barbero, Renaud, Chan, Steven C., Guerreiro, Selma B., Kendon, Elizabeth, Lenderink, Geert, Lewis, Elizabeth, Li, Xiao-Feng, Westra, Seth, Alexander, Lisa, Allan, Richard P., Berg, Peter, Dunn, Robert J. H., Ekstrom, Marie, Evans, Jason P., Holland, Greg, Jones, Richard, Kjellstrom, Erik, Klein-Tank, Albert, Lettenmaier, Dennis, Mishra, Vimal, Prein, Andreas F., Sheffield, Justin and Tye, Mari R. 2018. The INTENSE project: using observations and models to understand the past. present and future of sub-daily rainfall extremes. Advances in Science and Research 15 , pp. 117-126. 10.5194/asr-15-117-2018

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Abstract

Historical in situ sub-daily rainfall observations are essential for the understanding of short-duration rainfall extremes but records are typically not readily accessible and data are often subject to errors and inhomogeneities. Furthermore, these events are poorly quantified in projections of future climate change making adaptation to the risk of flash flooding problematic. Consequently, knowledge of the processes contributing to intense, short-duration rainfall is less complete compared with those on daily timescales. The INTENSE project is addressing this global challenge by undertaking a data collection initiative that is coupled with advances in high-resolution climate modelling to better understand key processes and likely future change. The project has so far acquired data from over 23000 rain gauges for its global sub-daily rainfall dataset (GSDR) and has provided evidence of an intensification of hourly extremes over the US. Studies of these observations, combined with model simulations, will continue to advance our understanding of the role of local-scale thermodynamics and large-scale atmospheric circulation in the generation of these events and how these might change in the future.

Item Type: Article
Date Type: Publication
Status: Published
Schools: Earth and Ocean Sciences
Additional Information: This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
ISSN: 1992-0628
Date of First Compliant Deposit: 22 November 2018
Date of Acceptance: 5 June 2018
Last Modified: 16 Jul 2019 13:50
URI: http://orca.cf.ac.uk/id/eprint/116982

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