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Research note: “Should we stay or should we go? Exploring the outcomes of great power retrenchment”

Atkinson, Douglas and Williford, George 2016. Research note: “Should we stay or should we go? Exploring the outcomes of great power retrenchment”. Research and Politics 3 (4) , pp. 1-6. 10.1177/2053168016682888

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Abstract

Within foreign policy and academic circles in the United States and other western countries, retrenchment has become an increasingly controversial topic. In spite of the increased attention, there have been few empirical studies that rigorously examine the outcomes of great power retrenchment. In this paper, we seek to fill this gap by performing a quantitative analysis of great power retrenchment outcomes from 1870–2007. Counter to the retrenchment pessimists’ expectations, we find that retrenchment leads to relatively positive outcomes for declining states. States that choose to retrench experience shorter periods of economic decline and are less likely to be the target of predatory conflict initiation.

Item Type: Article
Date Type: Publication
Status: Published
Schools: Department of Politics and International Relations (POLIR)
Publisher: SAGE Publications
ISSN: 2053-1680
Funders: none
Date of First Compliant Deposit: 5 February 2019
Date of Acceptance: 11 October 2016
Last Modified: 07 Feb 2019 11:45
URI: http://orca.cf.ac.uk/id/eprint/119196

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