Extreme rainfall in East Africa, October 2019–January 2020 and context under future climate change

Wainwright, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Finney, Declan L., Kilavi, Mary, Black, Emily and Marsham, John H. 2021. Extreme rainfall in East Africa, October 2019–January 2020 and context under future climate change. Weather 76 (1) , pp. 26-31. 10.1002/wea.3824

PDF - Published Version Available under License Creative Commons Attribution. Download (3MB)

Abstract

The 2019 October–December rains over East Africa were one of the wettest seasons on record, with many locations receiving more than double the climatological rainfall, leading to floods and landslides. The wet conditions were associated with the positive Indian Ocean Dipole event, with warm sea surface temperatures in the western Indian Ocean. Seasonal forecasts correctly predicted above average rainfall during the season. Climate model projections suggest that such events may become more frequent under future climate change.

Item Type:	Article
Date Type:	Publication
Status:	Published
Schools:	Earth and Environmental Sciences
Publisher:	Royal Meteorological Society
ISSN:	0043-1656
Date of First Compliant Deposit:	24 January 2023
Date of Acceptance:	14 July 2020
Last Modified:	16 May 2023 18:46
URI:	https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/155501

Actions (repository staff only)

Edit Item