Wainwright, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Finney, Declan L., Kilavi, Mary, Black, Emily and Marsham, John H. 2021. Extreme rainfall in East Africa, October 2019–January 2020 and context under future climate change. Weather 76 (1) , pp. 26-31. 10.1002/wea.3824 |
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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3824
Abstract
The 2019 October–December rains over East Africa were one of the wettest seasons on record, with many locations receiving more than double the climatological rainfall, leading to floods and landslides. The wet conditions were associated with the positive Indian Ocean Dipole event, with warm sea surface temperatures in the western Indian Ocean. Seasonal forecasts correctly predicted above average rainfall during the season. Climate model projections suggest that such events may become more frequent under future climate change.
Item Type: | Article |
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Date Type: | Publication |
Status: | Published |
Schools: | Earth and Environmental Sciences |
Publisher: | Royal Meteorological Society |
ISSN: | 0043-1656 |
Date of First Compliant Deposit: | 24 January 2023 |
Date of Acceptance: | 14 July 2020 |
Last Modified: | 16 May 2023 18:46 |
URI: | https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/155501 |
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