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The impacts of weather uncertainties on freight transport supply chains

Pandey, Sunil, Naim, Mohamed Mohamed and Potter, Andrew Thomas 2010. The impacts of weather uncertainties on freight transport supply chains. Presented at: 15th International Symposium on Logistics (ISL 2010), Kuala Lumpar, Malaysia, 4-7 July 2010. Published in: Pawar, K. S. and Lalwani, C. S. eds. Proceedings of the 15th International Symposium on Logistics (ISL 2010), Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, 4-7 July 2010. Nottingham: Nottingham University Business School, pp. 573-580.

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Abstract

While much research has been undertaken on the impact of weather uncertainties on the demand side of business’, little has been done on the supply side. This paper firstly identifies the impact of weather uncertainties on the freight transport elements of the supply chain, and secondly it assesses the predictability of weather forecasting services to mitigate the impacts of such uncertainties. An existing ‘Logistics Triad Uncertainty Model’ is utilised for undertaking the analysis. Via a survey of UK logistics practitioners’ estimates of weather-related risk are provided based on assessments of delays and monetary losses that weather events cause. The predictability of weather forecasting service depends on the weather event being forecasted. Each weather event is distinctly associated to “possible forecast accuracy” and a “possible level of forecast customization”. Particularly with regard to multi-modality, wind is seen to have the most impact on freight transport but it is often the most predictable. The paper concludes that there is major opportunity for utilising weather forecasts to ensure the resilience of multi-modal freight transport chains..

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Date Type: Publication
Status: Published
Schools: Business (Including Economics)
Centre for Advanced Manufacturing Systems At Cardiff (CAMSAC)
Subjects: H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General)
H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor
H Social Sciences > HE Transportation and Communications
Uncontrolled Keywords: logistics; operations management
Publisher: Nottingham University Business School
ISBN: 9780853582670
Related URLs:
Last Modified: 04 Jun 2017 03:39
URI: http://orca.cf.ac.uk/id/eprint/24496

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